Thus, if his expected value is in the upper 20s, he has very legitimate upside to exceed that. He has the exact same average of 27.3 fantasy points in his four regular season efforts against the Cavs, including those when he was obviously physically slowed at the end of the season as he recovered from injury. Meanwhile, his offensive playing style of quickness, athletic ability and shooting is at least somewhat analogous to that of John Wall, who just torched the Celtics for around 50 fantasy points, on average, in their seven-game series.Īvery Bradley, BOS vs CLE ($5,800) : Bradley is averaging 27.3 fantasy points over the last four games, on the strength of two 40+ fantasy point efforts bracketed by two games in the teens. Kyrie Irving, CLE at BOS ($8,400) : Irving averaged 42.5 fantasy points in four games against the Celtics in the regular season. The Celtics just got done with a high-scoring (on both sides) series with the Wizards, so there's no reason not to expect them to give up plenty of points to a better Cavaliers squad that's been the best offense in the playoffs. However, with the game in Boston, the Celtics are more likely to be very competitive and keep the game close enough for players to produce maximally.
Offense to use: Cleveland Cavaliers, at BOS: The Cavaliers won the regular season head-to-head three games to one over the Celtics, and they are the favorites despite being the lower seed. The obvious disclaimer is that, with their best player out, there are likely to be value plays that still make the Spurs worth considering, despite a lower team outlook. The Spurs, then, are the team most likely to be held to a low number as a squad. The Celtics are the underdog to the Cavaliers as well, but at least they are playing at home with everyone healthy. This article is part of our DraftKings NBA series.ĭefense to avoid: Golden State Warriors, vs SAS: The Warriors, on paper, are the overwhelming favorites on Tuesday night with Kawhi Leonard listed as doubtful, and very much unlikely, to play.